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From Military Coordination to Strategic Alliance: The Strategic Significance of Ethiopia’s Coalition

The formation of the Ethiopian Peoples’ Forces Alliance for Survival represents a potentially significant turning point in Ethiopia’s political and strategic landscape.  The coalition brings together seven armed and political forces from different parts of the country, including the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), Amhara Fano National Movement, Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), Ogaden National Liberation Front, Afar Revolutionary Democratic Unity Front, Benishangul Peoples’ Liberation Movement, and Gumuz Peoples’ Democratic Movement. The coalition has stated that its objective is to remove the government of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and establish an inclusive transitional government.  The significance of this development should not be measured solely by whether these forces can operate as one conventional army. Such an interpretation would reduce a fundamentally political and strategic development to a narrow military question. The greater significance lies in the possibil...

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