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Part I: Who Controls the Pressure Points in a Multipolar World? What Does That Mean for the Horn of Africa?

The current geopolitical moment is not defined by a single conflict, but by a pattern of shifting power, one that is clearly seen when examining the dynamics between Donald Trump, China, and Russia. The United States is no longer uncontested, and its own strategies may be accelerating a transition toward a more fragmented, multipolar world. This first part lays the background by discussing BRICS-NATO relations and the multipolar world. BRICS-NATO Trump-China Donald Trump’s approach to China is aggressive confrontation paired with strategic ambiguity. On one hand, Trump escalated tariffs, restricted technology exports, and framed China as a systemic rival. On the other, his policies often lacked consistency, leaving allies and adversaries uncertain about long-term U.S. intentions. Analysts note that this ambiguity has produced a tit-for-tat dynamic, with China responding symmetrically—restricting exports like rare earth materials and reinforcing its own economic defenses.  While t...

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